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Direct Link To This Post Topic: South Africa in New Zealand (2012)
    Posted: 21 March 2012 at 2:14pm
As a South Africa supporter, it's about time we get a big moment to cheer after years of WC heart-break. It will be a big achievement if RSA can go to number 1 by beating England in England. We'll see what happens though. I sense ENG may just be a bit too strong but it will be an awesome series whatever the outcome.

Back on-topic to the match against NZL at Wellington, plenty of dodgy weather around lately at the Basin. I expect quite a few overs will be lost to rain over the course of the match so RSA will have to repeat their Hamilton performance if they are to get a result here. With NZL strengthening their batting at the expense of a quick, they might be slightly harder to bowl out and the wind may also prove to be a challenge for the South African pace attack. The draw is probably the most likely result.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 22 March 2012 at 8:15am
The weather forecast is pretty grim , but the visitors needed less than 3 days to win the last one and could triumph yet again.  The pitch might well be lively and that could make batting rather tough - I think the SA batsmen will cope better against what is a less penetrative attack.    A draw will do me though as I've had a decent wager on SA winning the series !

Edited by Sledger - 22 March 2012 at 8:15am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 March 2012 at 3:00am
A wasted morning session by the NZ bowlers. Not very impressed with Taylors field settings either tbh. As my Sth African mate would say.... CRAZY MATE
 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 March 2012 at 5:12am
136-2 when bad light stopped play. Graeme Smith controversially given out , caught behind to one he plainly missed.  That it was referred after Aleem Dar gave it out and was not overturned will add fuel to those that are highly critical of DRS.  My opinion is that it was an awful shot - a football could have passed between bat and pad , nevermind a cricket ball! Smith's technique (and I use that term loosely) seems to be getting worse , he looks like a rank amatuer.
           No Kallis , out with a stiff neck , so Duminy gets another chance and is batting at 4. He's still there with Petersen , who has been very circumspect - he needs a score and he knows it.  New Zealand's bowling was really poor in the 1st session , which didn't start until after lunch because of a wet outfield.  At 1-0 down you'd think they'd have worked around the clock to start on time , but there obviously isn't much money in NZ cricket. 
           No Tahir either , de Lange completing an all seam attack on what is a green wicket.  It's a solid start by the visitors , New Zealand have to get their lengths right tomorrow , all of them struggled today.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 23 March 2012 at 11:00am
Woeful shot from Smith but honestly, these 3rd umpire decisions are so frustrating. I'm not saying it as a RSA fan, it's just shocking decision-making that hurts the game. How can anyone give that out is beyond me. I don't blame Dar because there was a sound but these sorts of random sounds occur frequently. The 3rd umpire saw a Hot Spot which showed nothing and saw the clear visual evidence that there was a gap between bat and ball and yet gives it out. He's just given it out because Dar said it's out, even though the evidence points to it being not out. That's plain silliness, if it looks like it's not out then it is not out.

Still a good day for RSA all said but I can't see this ending in anything but a draw. More rain forecast for Day 2 so by the time RSA likely finish their first innings, we'll be well into Day 3. Then it's just a case of NZL not completely capitulating and holding on for a draw.

Sledge - Yeah, Smith's shot was pretty bad but you'll get that from time to time with him. The fact is he averages 50 over nearly 100 Test matches as an opener, batting mostly on testing wickets when the ball is new, swinging and seaming. Taking that into consideration, that's a quite exemplary record. When he goes out and scores ugly 100s like in Dunedin, no one complains. Along with Cook, he is the best opener in the world, regardless of how bad his technique can look at times.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 March 2012 at 8:13am
Smith's record is impressive BP , but as a purist I'd be happier if he played straight ! 
        So after day 4 SA are batting again and in complete control ,leading by 274 with all 10 wickets in hand. New Zealand lost their last 6 wickets for 50-odd and avoided the follow on by a single run.  More bad news for the home side , Taylor got a lifter off Morkel that cracked him full on the wrist - X-ray confirm a fractured ulna.  So they'll be a key batsman down tomorrow when SA eventually declare. Leading 1-0 I can't see SA giving the hosts much of a sniff , maybe they'll bat for 90 minutes and give themselves 5 hours to bowl them out.
                 New Zealand's 1st innings total of 275 is their highest of the series , so I can't see them winning this one even if SA make a sporting declaration , setting them something around 350.
                  A final word for Philander - another amazing effort , taking 6 wickets yet again - the lad is on fire !
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 March 2012 at 8:25pm
Never in my 20 years of cricket watching have I seen someone perform as good as Philander and with such consistency... may be only Shane Bond will come some what close, Philander is a super hero.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 26 March 2012 at 9:06pm
Look at the record for fastest 50 wickets, he has smashed them all, surrounded only by bowlers who are of 18th century... surreal.
 
Hope it does not abruptly end like what happend to Mendis... don't tour India soon Wink.Flying careers flop , while struggling careers blossom.


Edited by MalhotraRaj84 - 26 March 2012 at 9:07pm
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 March 2012 at 12:26am
Dont worry about him Raj after the India tour he might became a all-rounder LOL
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 March 2012 at 6:00am
A minimum of 4 overs left in the match and NZ are 6 down (effectively 7 because of Taylor's injury). Williamson the hero , making a defiant unbeaten 100 , although he's been dropped three times.  Bracewell still there as well and it looks like they'll get the draw. Earlier on today SA upped the tempo with de Villers in particularly brutal form , scoring 68 off 49 balls. Duminy chipped in with a fine cameo of 33 off 23 balls with 3 enormous sixes , two of which went out of the park! That set up the declaration and then came a blistering spell from Morne Morkel that claimed all 6 wickets to fall to date. They don't fancy him at all , going at under 1.5 runs per over in a really sustained hostile spell. His figures right now are 16-6-23-6 - a fantastic effort and eventual reward after being pretty consistent throught the series.
               So the weather wins the day , but for New Zealand fans there's no getting away from it - SA are on a different level even though the series in all likelihood will end 1-0.


Edited by Sledger - 27 March 2012 at 6:01am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 March 2012 at 7:33am
Not the most successful series for South Africa, they probably would have liked at least two wins, but that just shows both the resilience of the Kiwis and the poor weather conditions at time in NZ. Lots of positive performance with the bat, while Philander and Morkel are proving to be more and more menacing every tour. Still can't believe how well Philander has performed, really mind boggling.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 27 March 2012 at 4:34pm
A very very good innings by Williamson, he is quite a find for NZL this lad. He has been very solid against the best bowling attack in the world and that too consistently.

Morne showed his cklass today, an excellent spell, took all 6 wickets but it just wasn't enough at the end. Yes, NZL are a resilient side and 1-0 may not be exactly what RSA would have liked, but t be honest the difference in the teams was there for all to see and RSA won't mind leaving NZL with series wins in all 3 formats. 2-1; 3-0; 1-0. not bad at all.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 March 2012 at 1:54am
Great innings by Williamson. Aside from his tendency to defend balls well outside off-stump, this guy is a real star prospect for NZL. Should have been out numerous times throughout the day though, a reprieve given by the 3rd umpire for a catch that was taken imo and plenty of dropped catches (including some from AB!).

A bit disappointing not to win 2-0 or 3-0 but to be fair, the weather did greatly affect things. Had weather not interrupted, RSA would most probably have won at Dunedin and would undoubtedly have won in Wellington so the 1-0 doesn't accurately reflect the relative performances. RSA showed their class in all departments and everything is falling into place nicely. Won both Test and ODI series against SL and now won T20s, ODIs and Tests against NZL in NZL. A good run going and would be nice to cap it all off with a win against IND in the meaningless T20 match played in a few days time. Then it's time to focus on ENG and taking that no. 1 spot.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 March 2012 at 1:38pm
Yes , the next real cricket for the South Africans come in July - that's some way off!  In the meantime they can inflate their bank accounts with the circus that is IPL. I'm still miffed that the upcoming test series is only 3 tests - a 5 test series between the two best sides playing the longer format would have been truly mouth watering.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 March 2012 at 1:56pm
Yes , the next real cricket for the South Africans come in July - that's some way off!  In the meantime they can inflate their bank accounts with the circus that is IPL. I'm still miffed that the upcoming test series is only 3 tests - a 5 test series between the two best sides playing the longer format would have been truly mouth watering.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 March 2012 at 6:27pm
RSA could become the No.1 test side in the world if ENG lose the series to SLN which is very much possible, still it will be the battle between the top ranked test teams.

Next two months are very boring for cricket because of the meaningless IPL, I tell you have don't even care 1% about who wins the IPL, but I'm still going to watch one DC game, possibly the one against King's XI.

also by 4000th post this, has been a wonderful journey this at Cricket World!!! and I hope for more, God willing! Smile
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 28 March 2012 at 10:29pm
Nice job on 4000 posts sam.

Yeah, Tony Greig was saying how RSA go to number 1 if ENG lose here but I hope it doesn't happen like that. It would just be pointless because ENG will reclaim it in the series against WI. I want to see RSA beat ENG in ENG and take the number 1 position by beating the former number 1 side and keep it for a meaningful amount of time. It wouldn't be worthwhile if RSA get it just because ENG are rubbish in the sub-continent.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 10:55am
SA are a more rounded side than England. The two attacks have match winners and are potent on any surface but where the South Africans are out front is in the batting department in Asia.  They have three proven batsmen who have no hangups against top quality spin in Kallis , Amla and de Villiers . Their record on the subcontinent leaves England for dead and if they beat England in England they'll deserve the number 1 ranking.

Edited by Sledger - 29 March 2012 at 10:55am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 4:42pm
Originally posted by Sledger

SA are a more rounded side than England. The two attacks have match winners and are potent on any surface but where the South Africans are out front is in the batting department in Asia.  They have three proven batsmen who have no hangups against top quality spin in Kallis , Amla and de Villiers . Their record on the subcontinent leaves England for dead and if they beat England in England they'll deserve the number 1 ranking.
Sledge , Even if England win the second test against SL, then ENG and S Africa will be level on 116 points. Anything less than a outright victory in second test will strip England of No. 1 status.
 
I know it is bit harsh , England have been close even in the matches that they have lost, but then No 1 status comes with a price, while they haven't won anything since dethroning India from that spot.
 
Retaining No 1 spot is not a joke, that is what I had said earlier.
 
 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 5:02pm
Originally posted by BackwardPoint

Nice job on 4000 posts sam.

Yeah, Tony Greig was saying how RSA go to number 1 if ENG lose here but I hope it doesn't happen like that. It would just be pointless because ENG will reclaim it in the series against WI. I want to see RSA beat ENG in ENG and take the number 1 position by beating the former number 1 side and keep it for a meaningful amount of time. It wouldn't be worthwhile if RSA get it just because ENG are rubbish in the sub-continent.
Good job Sam ...
 
No BP, If Eng vs SL ( even if 2nd Test is drawn)... SA - 116;ENG-114 (Assuming Aus wins against WI).
 
In this case even if Eng beats WI 3-0 , still SA and ENG will be level on points.
 
So all this depends on how WI will play against Aus, If WI draw/win  the series agaisnt AUS ... they will have higher points , then ENG beating them will fetch them good points.On the other side if WI looses 3-0 to Aus, they will slide further down and ENG beating WI 3-0 will not fetch them anything.
 
There is lot of possibilities 
 
However I expect WI to SHOCK everyone this time, they won't go down easily.The new spinner - Sunil, and couple of other promising new batsmans and a fit Ravi Rampaul in English conditions could be good enough.
 
We will see if they have really improved against the Aussies.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 6:37pm
Very interesting Raj. Why the hell does this defeat for ENG cost them 4 points but an additional defeat against SL just costs them an extra point? Looks like they will be in trouble if they don't get a win at Colombo. It seems beating low-ranked sides makes very little difference in terms of points but losing to them can cost you big.  
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 6:44pm
Well, I expect RSA to be the No.1 side for quite some time, there aren't too many teams that can challenge them and honestly I feel RSA are destined to be the No.1 side in the world after all the wonderful cricket they've played over the years.

ENG will have their chances though, they have RSA and IND lined up, if they do well in these two series they can still be No.1 by the end of the year... difficult, but it is in ENG's hands.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 29 March 2012 at 7:18pm
Originally posted by BackwardPoint

Very interesting Raj. Why the hell does this defeat for ENG cost them 4 points but an additional defeat against SL just costs them an extra point? Looks like they will be in trouble if they don't get a win at Colombo. It seems beating low-ranked sides makes very little difference in terms of points but losing to them can cost you big.  
Absolutely BP, the system is designed in such a way that No1. can hardly breath easy (rightly so), and as you said it gets worse when a No 1. looses against a lower ranked team.
 
The first loss is making England lose 4 points , because system assumes that this scoreline will remain as it is by the end of sereis( assuming second match is a draw). If ENG make up for it and win the second one , then the scoreline will be 1-1 , In that case ENG will lose only 2 points.
 
Now if ENG lose the second test too they are going to lose one additional point for the final match, coz they have already lost the series(and the points that come with Series victories).
 
Actually if this series was 0-0 drawn series , still ENG would have lost 2 point while SL would have gained 3 points. That is the cost of being No.1
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 March 2012 at 1:14am
Pretty decent system I guess, thanks for the explanation. Main problem I have though is deducting points for a draw. Why should you lose 2 points for a drawn series? RSA probably lost some points for drawing 2 Tests against NZL and that frustrates me because it was mainly down to the weather. It seems silly when you dominate a Test match but fail to win due to rain and then lose points for that.

Also, do you know whether home/away Test matches are factored in, i.e. do you get more points for wins away from home? 
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 March 2012 at 3:43am
Unfortunately it does not take into account the closeness of the match or rain/bad light. Lose by 1 run or lose by an innings it does not matter for the ranking sysem, this esp for a top ranked team.I wish there was a system which could actually give a closeness factor.
 
No , it does not differenciate anyting between home and away.The reason being - it assumes that team will tour one another during 3/4 year period.
 
The evaluation period starts every Aug and dates back to 3/4 years. Current year ( which is growing)  and previous years get 100% weightage, while oldest 2 years weigh only 50% to results.
 
For example, this Aug 2011,
Sep 2010 to Aug 2011 - 100% wieghtage
Sep 2008 to Aug 2010 - 50% weightage
Note - Above only 3 years
 
Current state, i.e Mar 2012
Sep 2011 to Mar 2012 - 100% weightage
Sep 2010 to Aug 2011 - 100% weightage
Sep 2008 to Aug 2010 - 50% weightage
Note : Now 3 years 7 months are considered.
 
So this Aug 2012 , all the points/matches accumulated for Sep 2008 to Aug 2009 will be dropped off.Theat is the reason you will see rankings behaving crazy during August, but 99% of the times worthy team will get to No 1. spot. For example this time England became No 1 . because thier past three years record was better compared to India at this August (Obviously... England had beaten India 4-0 by Aug end, and that would count for 100% weightage and spoil India 3 years record in comparision to England's during September 2011 re-calculations), morevoer they got good points when they beat India 4-0 (as India was the No 1 team during that period).
 
If you recall , before the England series , India- 125 (1st pos);Eng-117(3rd pos) at Aug 2011, after the end of series Eng-125(1st pos);Ind-117(3rd pos)
 
Yes BP , the only two loophole that I too saw was Home/Away matches and Some weightage for close matches/ concession for Rain/Bad light.I too felt the same when I understood the rankings system.
 
There are some flaws , but I have been following it from 2007/8 , I can say one thing about the ranking. It gives correct picture of the performances for sure, however it does not give credit to close matches.
 
(simple 3 page PDF)
 
 


Edited by MalhotraRaj84 - 30 March 2012 at 4:17am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 March 2012 at 4:25am
So if you look at the ranking system closely there is a third flaw too , it is not moving average of fixed period.
 
Now England will have to carry the burden of losing to Pak (3-0) and SL( assuming if they lose) till 2013 Aug which will account to 100% weightage, At the same time observe that India's close escape with England loss ( as the match was competed before Sep 01 2011) they will end up paying only 50% weightage post  Sep 2012 , till then they will have to bear 100% weightage for England debacle. They can't escape the 4-0 loss to Aus till Sep 2013, but it is not that damaging as India did not lose much points ... courtesy.... they were not No 1 by then.
 
However everything evens out evnetually, 2007 India in England series was also completed by Aug-13-2007, so the good work of winning 1-0 overseas was valid to India for only 1 year on 100% weightage.


Edited by MalhotraRaj84 - 30 March 2012 at 4:32am
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 March 2012 at 6:03pm
Quite some analysis that Raj!!! Anyways, I too agree that the Ranking system is mostly fair and gives an accurate picture of the standings.

Sorry for using this thread for the one off Ind-RSA game, this thread anyhow involves RSA so I thought I can post here.

219/4 by the proteas, Indian bowlers get murdered on a flat track, Ingram and kallis doing bulk of the scoring and some cameos by Ontong, Behradien, Albie and Levi... a very formidable score, India will still back themselves to win, they've got Kohli, Uthappa and the brutal Yusuf Pathan!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 30 March 2012 at 7:37pm
The game could be called off... nothing surprising with the horrid luck that India is having of late.Either they play badly or one fo the other things spoils it.For Indian players this is nothing new, rain hardly helped them anytime.
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 March 2012 at 6:06am
Raj, just be happy this is a pointless one-off T20 match and not a crucial ICC WC group stage match. Would have been interesting to see what would have happened had rain not interrupted, I still fancied RSA because 148 off 12 would have taken some going, even on that flat track.

A good performance from a primarily South African B team. A nice knock from Ingram and some excellent bowling from Lopsy were the real highlights. Even a jet-lagged Kallis managed to boost his T20 average by feasting on the Indian bowlers. What's Dhoni doing bowling Raina for the last over? That just shows what an atrocious attack India have. Can't even rely upon the main seamers to get the job done so had to turn to part-timers.

Effectively a full-strength IND T20I side travels 4000 miles to get thrashed around the park by a South African B side before ultimately losing, thanks to D-L no less. What a dismal end to a horrific run of away matches!
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Direct Link To This Post Posted: 31 March 2012 at 9:36am
Agree with BP, that really was an "A" team and Indian bowlers still got thrashed, no surprises there though, you expect that from the Indian bowlers!

I also agree with Raj, India have been a bit unlucky in the recent past, The one ODI in which they looked good in ENG got washed off, in CB series they won 3 games against SLN, but SLN managed to do better against AUS and made it to the finals, in Asia cup I thought they played better than my favt team Pak but still lost out on the finals berth and now this, although they might still have lost this game, it was very difficult no matter how flat the wicket but then they never got a fair chance to go for it!
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