Saturday 10 May 2014 

Beat The Bookies - County Championship Week Six

The Ageas Bowl
The Ageas Bowl, where Hampshire hope to keep their unbeaten run against Glamorgan going
© REUTERS / Action Images
 

Using the latest statistics we preview the sixth week of LV= County Championship action, with Warwickshire topping Division One and Worcestershire leading Division Two.

With a lot of playing time last week lost to bad weather, both tables are extremely tight, so will anybody make a break for it this week?

Or will the weather intervene again?

Round 6 fixtures

11th-14th May

Division One

Middlesex v Lancashire

Nottinghamshire v Northamptonshire

Sussex v Durham

Yorkshire v Warwickshire

Division Two

Derbyshire v Kent

Hampshire v Glamorgan

Surrey v Gloucestershire

DIVISION ONE

In 10 completed matches away at Middlesex, Lancashire have won five and drawn four, losing their last visit in 2012.

Chris Rogers has scored 41, 63 not out, 241 not out and 82 in his four visits to the crease in Middlesex's second innings this season.

Odds: Middesex 4/6, Lancashire 6/5

Nottinghamshire have drawn five and won seven of their last 12 home clashes with Northamptonshire.

Nottinghamshire 4/9, Northamptonshire 7/4

Durham and Sussex have not drawn any of their previous seven matches - Durham winning four, Sussex three.

Sussex 8/11, Durham 11/10

Yorkshire have won five and drawn three of their last nine home Championship matches against Warwickshire, losing the other.

Yorkshire 4/5, Warwickshire evens

Cricket World verdict - John Pennington

This week might be one to keep your money in your pocket. The weather forecast is not good so I would expect the majority of games to end in draws.

However, if I had to pick two teams to win I would go for Nottinghamshire who should be too strong for struggling Northamptonshire and Hampshire to kick-start their season against a Glamorgan side that surely can't keep on relying on their lower order to rescue them.

You should get odds of 11/10 or better on a Notts-Hants double.

DIVISION TWO

Derbyshire have beaten Kent at home twice in a row, but haven't won three in a row against them since they did so between 1935 and 1937.

Derbyshire evens, Kent 4/5

Hampshire have not lost a Championship match to Glamorgan since 1991. Since then, they have won 11 and drawn seven.

Hampshire 8/15, Glamorgan 6/4

Gloucestershire have lost just one of their last away Championship matches against Surrey, with four draws and three wins - two of them most recently.

Jon Lewis has bowled 95 overs this season and 40 of those have been maidens. Steve Magoffin has 37 maidens from a total of 117.

Alex Gidman has scored two Championship centuries and seven half-centuries in 19 innings against Surrey. He averages 64.6 against them.

Surrey 4/6, Gloucestershire 6/5

Stats from Opta, odds from bet365

© Cricket World 2014